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Determinants of migration: A case of Vietnam

By Le Duy Thanh (VNP 15)

Supervisor: Dr. Dinh Cong Khai

Abstract

Internal migration has had a great impact on Vietnam’s population dynamics for decades. There were 6.6 million people migrated internally over 2000-2009 while census 1999 recorded that 4.5 million people left their residences in Vietnam. Although it is claim for numerous previous studies, we aim to investigate further to see if new patterns of internal migration have emerged.

This thesis has applied the migration model of Bilsborrow et al. (1987) as the theoretical framework to investigate the determinants of migration in Vietnam. The study considers that factors included individual, household and commune characteristics influence to migration decision and gender differences in determinants of migration. Drawing on data from VHLSS, this paper considers that gender differences in the individual, household, commune-level characteristics migrants. The empirical studies were carried on with application of a multiple regression model based on the probit model. Except the gender composition and educational level, age, marital status, employment variables have significant effect to the migration decision of individuals. The result is also relating the household characteristics to the migration probabilities, in which log of per capita household income seems to be not a significant impact to the migration. With regard to commune characteristic, percent irrigated farms have a significant impact on migration decision while school dummy variable is as strongly effect to the propensity of male migration. 

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