Early warning system

Developing an early warning system to predict currency crises in emerging markets

By Hoang Thuy Hong Nhung (VNP 18) Supervisor: Dr. Nguyen Van Ngai Abstract This thesis develops a new early warning system (EWS) model to predict the currency crises in emerging markets by using the logit regression. According to the results, the macroeconomic variables and the institution variables are valuable indicators which play important roles in […]

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